Description

This analysis provides a forecast of FET prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-09-28 0.369248 0.426378 0.488520 0.561014 0.643141 0.733167 0.839198
2025-10-05 0.278088 0.357614 0.452621 0.573909 0.723998 0.902950 1.131731
2025-10-12 0.233805 0.325482 0.442761 0.602500 0.812905 1.078897 1.438666
2025-10-19 0.199259 0.296453 0.428072 0.617145 0.879142 1.226300 1.717370
2025-10-26 0.171010 0.269929 0.410796 0.622804 0.929779 1.353285 1.975644
2025-11-02 0.147189 0.245330 0.391671 0.621418 0.967477 1.462386 2.214644
2025-11-09 0.126279 0.221597 0.370009 0.612367 0.990998 1.550658 2.427933
2025-11-16 0.109171 0.201160 0.350352 0.603130 1.011662 1.634189 2.637948
2025-11-23 0.092929 0.179654 0.326035 0.583087 1.012330 1.685776 2.801230
2025-11-30 0.088163 0.177399 0.333081 0.614644 1.097569 1.873428 3.186802
2025-12-07 0.076480 0.160854 0.313511 0.598651 1.102144 1.932075 3.370302
2025-12-14 0.066317 0.145677 0.294467 0.581223 1.101990 1.981805 3.541017
2025-12-21 0.057823 0.132744 0.278343 0.567896 1.108659 2.044827 3.740973
2025-12-28 0.053570 0.127921 0.277097 0.582111 1.165921 2.198412 4.105412
2026-01-04 0.051333 0.127044 0.283399 0.611167 1.252486 2.408456 4.580303
2026-01-11 0.047855 0.122910 0.282591 0.626010 1.313214 2.576072 4.990152
2026-01-18 0.043908 0.117101 0.277585 0.631743 1.356566 2.714495 5.355361
2026-01-25 0.039806 0.110289 0.269590 0.630340 1.385405 2.827347 5.679752
2026-02-01 0.035577 0.102500 0.258507 0.621171 1.397630 2.909240 5.950877
2026-02-08 0.031823 0.095306 0.247883 0.611814 1.408413 2.988542 6.221051
2026-02-15 0.027809 0.086760 0.233057 0.591508 1.394353 3.018021 6.396696
2026-02-22 0.027298 0.087664 0.240897 0.623478 1.494235 3.279142 7.037524
2026-03-01 0.024153 0.080667 0.228561 0.607276 1.487943 3.325902 7.257327